Showing posts with label Stocks - Data Storage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks - Data Storage. Show all posts

Sunday, August 12, 2012

"WOZ , two weeks in a row? Well, Steve Wozniak is the Chief Scientist at Fusion-IO, and Fusion I/O is on the move"

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Up) 13,207.95  Week ending 08-10-2012

 Steve Wozniak
Like James Mason, Pat Boone and Arlene Dahl in the 1959 version of the movie  "The Journey to the Center of the  Earth",  I seem to be following a path and like the explorers in the movie,  I keep looking for the three notch marks that denote the clues that you are on the correct trail. This is why I am now talking about Steve Wozniak again, for the second week in a row. He just keeps popping up on the path, like some Alice In Wonderland character.

Steve Wozniak reveals himself as the Chief Scientist at data software storage specialist,  Fusion-IO.

Fusion I/O (Symbol FIO, $26.86) showed up on the radar last week with a +5.84 point gain day on Friday Aug 10, up 27.78%

There's that WOZ again, What is he up to now and why did his stock move up??

Well, Fusion I/O Inc. reported 82% revenue growth in Fiscal year 2012 with its most recent quarter. 


Revenue growth has looked like this:

          2008  -          $648,000
          2009  -    $10,150, 000
          2010  -    $36,216,000
          2011  -  $197,204,000
          2012 -   $359,349,000


Quarter this year $106.6 Million over quarter last year $71.7 Million. Non-GAAP gross margins are 57.6%.

This is not a stock I would go out and buy on Monday after this big run-up. I would pick a good entry point ($23 - 25$ per share) when you see it and plan on holding this for 3-4 Years.  R&D and SGA expenses are high right now because of the rapid product development and revenue growth, so earnings are yet to come on stream in abundance. 

These guys do Flash Memory Server Acceleration Technology and SAN - storage arrays. I consider them in a niche space very close to VM Ware.


Piper Jaffray's Andrew Nowinski currently has a target price on the stock of $38.00 per share.  He feels that their technology along with combining with companies like  NetApp, that they should be able to compete effectively against the likes of EMC/ VM Ware. 

"Lazard Capital Markets’s Edward Parker, who rates Fusion stock a Neutral, wrote that ION, “which is essentially a server bundled with Fusion-io drives and new data management software such that the server, or a cluster of servers, can effectively operate as a storage array or a SAN,” is a positive step, given that Fusion’s traditional sales of so-called PCIe cards may not be sustainable over the long term. However, Parker thinks it may be a tough route to market for Fusion without having the product bundled by Hewlett-Packard, (HPQ), or another vendor" this as quoted in Tiernan Ray's August 3rd, 2012 Barron's article.

So, in review, this is a stock to put on your Watchlist, that you can add at the right price, as a building block, for a long-term aggressive growth portfolio. If you don't have a Watchlist you should start one. You get the picture. Hopefully FIO will shoot you to the top of the volcano, like the people below coming back from their "Journey to the Center of the Earth".


I hope that you are having an "Olympic" Gold Medal summer and have gotten some vacations or holidays in there. Take some time for yourself, the rest of this stuff will be here when you get back.

Freewilly






Saturday, May 12, 2012

"The world is storing and managing a mountain of data, video, and stored photos. Who is at the forefront of this effort? VMWare"

Dow Jones Industrial Average 12820.60 (Down) Week Ending 05-11-2012


Facebook goes IPO next week
Next week, the long awaited Facebook public stock offering comes out. I would not buy it at the open, but wait until the stock settles out in a trading price range. This offering will also bring stocks along with it on it's coattails. One of those stocks is game maker Zynga , (Symbol ZNGA, $7.48), and another is the data gurus at  VMWare , (Symbol VMW, $120.32), which I will discuss today. There will be many more to discover.

According to the website DataCenter Knowledge, Facebook has as of October 2009,  30,000 servers. God knows how many they have to manage now in 2012. As of that October date, they were processing and storing 25 Terabytes of data per day. That is 1000 times the daily data volume of the US Postal Service.

 According to Mashable.com social media , the worlds information is doubling every two years. That is 1.8 ZettaBytes of data compounding every 2 years. That is the equivalent of 200 billion HD Movies  each 120 minutes long.


Who is prepared to deal with this growing mountain of data?  VMWare , (Symbol VMW, $120.32).
The Palo Alto, CA. based VMware, Inc. provides virtualization and virtualization-based cloud infrastructure solutions from the desktop to the data center and to the cloud. 


"Oh, that explains it!"
VMWare, according to SmartMoney.com is projecting 2012 earnings of $2.70 per share and 2013 earnings of $3.16 per share. There are 24 Strong Buy recommendations on the stock. The company has 5 Year sales growth of 36.83% and 5 year Earnings growth of 35.22% per share. VMW, also has 19.85% Net Profit margins. The PEG ratio on the stock is 1.51. The IDB rating on the stock is 97/98/84.



The bargain here is that the one year total return this year has only been 8.92%. So the stock has been taking a breather.  The 3 year Total return on the stock however is 278.96%. That number has a much better ring to it.


I would add 25 to 50 shares of the stock to your portfolio right here at this price.


In other NEWS, Jamie Dimon and his JP Morgan bank buddies made a bad trade this past week. The financial media jumped all over it as another case where the taxpayers and FDIC could somehow be involved in this risk. People seem to forget that the House of Morgan does thousands of successful trades each week and also that they were forced to take 25 Billion in TARP funds which they paid back quickly,  in full. 


So in the immortal words of New Jersey Governor Christie, unless you are a JPM stockholder, ..... " Just SHUT UP!!"   


It should be a fun week next week and the Facebook IPO could jar loose more Retail investors to get back in the market. (I have never been out of it!)


Freewilly     


P.S.  (Ask.com "How much is a ZettaByte"?  


       Answer:  Zettabyte 
     1,180,591,620,717,411,303,424 bytes or 270
     approx. 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 or 10
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